Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.036153 0.039272 0.042398 0.045760 0.049268 0.052815 0.056666
2026-01-25 0.029876 0.034418 0.039113 0.044307 0.049870 0.055631 0.062027
2026-02-01 0.025700 0.031258 0.037168 0.043867 0.051201 0.058941 0.067683
2026-02-08 0.022540 0.028852 0.035738 0.043714 0.052610 0.062150 0.073078
2026-02-15 0.020828 0.027859 0.035698 0.044939 0.055401 0.066759 0.079908
2026-02-22 0.019230 0.026830 0.035481 0.045846 0.057736 0.070786 0.086032
2026-03-01 0.017629 0.025657 0.034980 0.046323 0.059500 0.074104 0.091310
2026-03-08 0.016073 0.024412 0.034293 0.046495 0.060837 0.076882 0.095930
2026-03-15 0.015140 0.023859 0.034368 0.047508 0.063101 0.080675 0.101665
2026-03-22 0.013456 0.022239 0.033055 0.046790 0.063279 0.082029 0.104583
2026-03-29 0.012399 0.021357 0.032593 0.047043 0.064556 0.084614 0.108880
2026-04-05 0.011646 0.020822 0.032524 0.047741 0.066334 0.087758 0.113801
2026-04-12 0.010847 0.020199 0.032337 0.048305 0.067979 0.090791 0.118654
2026-04-19 0.009232 0.018329 0.030461 0.046702 0.066962 0.090664 0.119818
2026-04-26 0.008190 0.017200 0.029498 0.046201 0.067248 0.092048 0.122721
2026-05-03 0.007357 0.016316 0.028816 0.046021 0.067899 0.093846 0.126094
2026-05-10 0.007081 0.016261 0.029248 0.047272 0.070318 0.097756 0.131957
2026-05-17 0.006720 0.016046 0.029442 0.048200 0.072327 0.101169 0.137233
2026-05-24 0.006248 0.015618 0.029316 0.048689 0.073773 0.103897 0.141691
2026-05-31 0.005719 0.015053 0.028968 0.048865 0.074810 0.106118 0.145538
2026-06-07 0.005476 0.014953 0.029275 0.049906 0.076937 0.109663 0.150967
2026-06-14 0.004766 0.013984 0.028282 0.049168 0.076775 0.110398 0.153021
2026-06-21 0.004372 0.013540 0.028038 0.049428 0.077879 0.112674 0.156915